Once again, making headlines as it approaches its all-time high (ATH) is Bitcoin Surges, the most valuable coin available worldwide. Trading recently above $100,000, this comeback fits a remarkable trend: long-term holders (LTHS) are not cashing in but tightening their hold on their coins. This begs the question: Is more upward still to come?
Bitcoin Near Peak Amid Market Optimism
Bitcoin has hung around at its historical peak as of mid-May 2025. It trades somewhat below an intraday high of about $104,000, having peaked. One of the best-performing assets in world markets, Bitcoin has shown amazing year-to-date (YTD) increases of over 115%, despite regular pullbacks and market corrections.
Combining macroeconomic elements, positive legislative changes, and growing institutional interest, this boom reflects Inflation worries. The ongoing acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a counterpoint against currency devaluation has facilitated this surge. Still, the way long-term holders behave throughout this bull run is among its most interesting features.
LTHs Accumulate Bitcoin Near ATH
Those who have kept their Bitcoin for more than 155 days—long-term holders-have traditionally been an important gauge of market mood. On-chain analytics indicate that these holders are saving their holdings and significantly building their Bitcoin accumulation in 2024 and early 2025.
LTHS bought over 635,000 BTC from January to May 2025. With their overall holdings estimated at 13.75 million BTC—more than 70% of the circulating supply—this build puts them. Fascinatingly, short-term holdings (STHS) have been net sellers during this period, dumping over 460,000 BTC. This difference emphasises a firm conviction among experienced investors in the future expansion of Bitcoin. Especially remarkable is that LTHS is building even at or close to ATH levels, a period when many would anticipate profit-taking. This belief implies they expect far more expensive times ahead.
Institutional Push Boosts Bitcoin
The flood of institutional money is a leading force behind Bitcoin’s increasing momentum. Since the SEC approved numerous spot Bitcoin ETFS in late 2024, conventional financial institutions have started heavily allocating to the asset. While market volatility caused ETF withdrawals of over $3.3 billion in April 2025, May has shown indications of stabilisation as several funds report restarted inflows.
Companies like MicroStrategy continue to focus primarily on their Bitcoin approach. In May alone, MicroStrategy added around 1,900 Bitcoin, increasing its overall holdings to over 210,000 BTC. Likewise, Riot Platforms and other publicly traded companies with cryptocurrency exposure have increased their acquisitions, indicating a continuous belief in Bitcoin’s value proposition. These companies are strategic participants who contribute to lower circulating supply, creating scarcity, especially when retail activity rises, not only for passive holders.
Whale Activity Signals Price Breakout
Whale activity—significant transactions usually connected with more than 1,000 Bitcoin Wallets —has risen substantially. The number of whale transactions grew by more than 25% over the past month, suggesting fresh accumulation among the largest holders of cryptocurrencies.
Usually, more whale activity comes before significant changes in prices. Usually accumulating during consolidation, these companies create liquidity when prices break out. Their present actions fit the optimistic attitude shown on technical and on-chain indicators.
According to on-chain data platforms including Glassnode and Saniment, the 7-day moving average of significant transactions has reached its highest level since November 2021. This increase in high-value transactions is considered a strategic orientation before a possible price breakthrough.
Halving Cuts Supply, Drives Demand
Its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins drives Bitcoin’s long-term value. Every halving event—the most recent one in April 2024—cuts the reward given to miners in half, slowing the rate of new BTC entering the system. Usually, the post-halving environment results in a supply constraint, particularly in cases of steady demand or rising one. Half of what it was in early 2024, the daily issuing rate of Bitcoin as of Q2 2025 is down to barely 450 BTC. Given that institutional demand is growing and long-term holders are not selling, this naturally indicates a positive future. Fewer coins are on the market, yet more people are coming to the door.
Bitcoin Bullish Trend Confirmed by Technicals
Technically, Bitcoin’s price chart stays optimistic. Indicative of an uptrend, the digital asset keeps forming greater highs and lows. While resistance around the $104,000 mark is being challenged, recent support levels at $96,000 and $91,000 have been rather sturdy. Remarkably, in a healthy range, momentum indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicate that higher prices are still possible without crossing overbought territory. With the MACD line above the signal line, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also implies continuing the bullish trend. Often considered a confirmation tool, volume trends can support positive momentum. A traditional indicator of a strong trend, volume has risen during upward price advances and dropped during pullbacks.
Bitcoin Sentiment Shows Growing Greed
Sentiment indices still show quite good results. The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index indicates that while not at severe levels, the market is now in the “Greed” zone. This points to rising hope among institutional and ordinary investors, even if not yet the ideal levels sometimes connected with market tops.
Outside elements, such as the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy posture and world geopolitical events, will always influence investor behavior. However, Bitcoin’s divergence from conventional markets seems to be getting more pronounced. It is increasingly seen as a separate asset class with special risk and reward properties.
Bitcoin Faces Regulatory and Profit-Taking Risks
Though things look bright, it’s essential to recognise the hazards; regulatory changes could cause volatility, especially in big economies like the United States and the EU. Furthermore, should Bitcoin ETFS have protracted outflows, short-term momentum may be slowed down.
Profit-taking is also possible, particularly as more ordinary investors join the market. Historically, volatility rises as retail involvement spikes, and corrections can be rapid. In some important respects, though, the present cycle differs from past ones: institutional backing is stronger, on-chain fundamentals are healthier, and the post-halving supply restrictions are just starting to affect the market.
Bitcoin Set for New Highs Amid Rising Demand
One thing is evident in an uncertain market: Bitcoin attracts believers, nevertheless. From Wall Street institutions to corporate treasuries to long-term holders, trust in Bitcoin as a store of value and hedge against uncertainty is at an all-time high. The scene seems set for Bitcoin not just to retest its ATH but maybe enter a new price discovery phase as supply is declining, demand is rising, and holders show no indications of selling. The real question is not whether Bitcoin can hit fresh highs but how high it may rise before the next significant dip. Given that global and micro trends all seem to point in one direction—up—the current scene presents strong arguments for long-term investors to maintain the course.